Scenarios for the future Lithuanian State forest sector

Three alternative scenarios viz., (i) the integrated, where all functions are delegated to one central administrative authority (Danish prototype), (ii) the commercialized, where state forests are managed by a commercial state company (Irish prototype), and (iii) the minimalistic, where only negligible forest areas of special importance remain in state ownership (Swedish prototype), are examined as alternatives to the present structural framework to address the future development of the Lithuanian State Forestry sector. The scenarios are assessed according to six imperatives: (i) sort out the ambiguity of the present structure, (ii) increase profitability, (iii) reduce the level of public spending, (iv) accommodate changes in ownership structure, (v) rely on a holistic approach, and (vi) comply with the national forest policy. If adopted, the scenarios are likely improve the various elements of state forestry, although in substantially different ways