Sammanfattning
In this paper we study the optimal conversion policy set by a society composed of a sequence of non-overlapping imperfectly altruistic generations. We show that society can be equivalently viewed as a sequence of hyperbolic discounting agents. Under uncertainty about future pay-offs we determine, as solution to an intergenerational non-cooperative dynamic game, the optimal timing of irreversible conversion. We show that under both naive and sophisticated beliefs about future time-inconsistency, the option value attached to the conversion decision is eroded and earlier conversion occurs. This determines a drastic bias toward the current generation gratification, which affects the intergenerational allocation of benefits and costs from deforestation.
| Originalspråk | Engelska |
|---|---|
| Sidor (från-till) | 194-206 |
| Antal sidor | 13 |
| Tidskrift | Journal of Forest Economics |
| Volym | 18 |
| Nummer | 3 |
| DOI | |
| Status | Publicerad - 2012 |
FN:s SDG:er
Detta resultat bidrar till följande hållbara utvecklingsmål:
-
SDG 15 – Ekosystem och biologisk mångfald
Nyckelord
- Real options
- Intergenerational imperfect altruism
- Hyperbolic discounting
- Timing game.
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