How non-target chironomid communities respond to mosquito control: Integrating DNA metabarcoding and joint species distribution modelling

The conservation and management of riparian ecosystems rely on understanding the ecological consequences of anthropogenic stressors that impact natural communities. In this context, studies investigating the effects of anthropogenic stressors require reliable methods capable of mapping the relationships between taxa occurrence or abundance and environmental predictors within a spatio-temporal framework. Here, we present an integrative approach using DNA metabarcoding and Hierarchical Modelling of Species Communities (HMSC) to unravel the intricate dynamics and resilience of chironomid communities exposed to Bacillus thuringiensis var. israelensis (Bti). Chironomid emergence was sampled from a total of 12 floodplain pond mesocosms, half of which received Bti treatment, during a 16-week period spanning spring and summer of 2020. Subsequently, we determined the community compositions of chironomids and examined their genus-specific responses to the Bti treatment, considering their phylogenetic affiliations and ecological traits of the larvae. Additionally, we investigated the impact of the Bti treatment on the body size distribution of emerging chironomids. Our study revealed consistent responses to Bti among different chironomid genera, indicating that neither phylogenetic affiliations nor larval feeding strategies significantly contributed to the observed patterns. Both taxonomic and genetic diversity were positively correlated with the number of emerged individuals. Furthermore, our findings demonstrated Bti-related effects on chironomid body size distribution, which could have relevant implications for size-selective terrestrial predators. Hence, our study highlights the value of employing a combination of DNA metabarcoding and HMSC to unravel the complex dynamics of Bti-related non-target effects on chironomid communities. The insights gained from this integrated framework contribute to our understanding of the ecological consequences of anthropogenic stressors and provide a foundation for informed decision-making regarding the conservation and management of riparian ecosystems.